Land Needs Assessment to 2051
What is a Land Needs Assessment?
A Land Needs Assessment (LNA) is a technical study that determines how much land is needed in the City to accommodate growth. The LNA must be completed based on a methodology developed by the Province and is a required part of the City’s Municipal Comprehensive Review process (MCR).
There are two categories of lands considered through an LNA:
- “Community” lands - areas for population, commercial and institutional growth
- “Employment” lands - areas specifically for employment growth like business parks and industrial lands
The LNA identifies how much of the forecasted population and job growth can be accommodated within the City’s existing urban boundary through infill/intensification in the ‘Built Up Area’ and existing Designated Greenfield Area lands. If there is more growth forecasted than can be accommodated in the City’s existing urban boundary, then the LNA determines how much urban expansion area may be required. Where this expansion might take place is not considered through the LNA.
Key findings of the draft LNA for the City of Hamilton
- An urban boundary expansion is needed to accommodate population growth to 2051
- To accommodate new population growth, the City must plan for a higher percentage of residential intensification than the Growth Plan minimum target of 50%
- Four residential intensification scenarios are presented in the Land Needs Assessment. For each of the scenarios, view the PDF for a breakdown of the calculations:
- 'Current Trends' (PDF, 627 KB) - 40% intensification, resulting in a required land need of 3,440 hectares.
- 'Growth Plan Minimum' (PDF, 627 KB) - 50% intensification, resulting in a required land need of 2,200 hectares
- ‘Increased Targets’ (PDF, 626 KB) - 50% to 2031, 55% to 2041, 60% to 2051 - resulting in a required land need of 1,670 hectares
- ‘Ambitious Density’ (PDF, 623 KB) - 50% to 2031, 60% to 2041, 70% to 2051 - resulting in a required land need of 1,340 hectares
- Designated Greenfield Area density will depend on the ratio of residential unit types (singles, semis, rowhouses, apartments) and how densely they develop
- Employment Land need and supply are anticipated to be balanced to the year 2051. No new employment land is needed.
- View a breakdown of the Employment Area calculations (PDF, 582 KB)
The reports that were presented at the December 14, 2020 General Issues Committee include:
- Report PED17010(h) - Staff Report (PDF, 843 KB)
- Appendix A - GRIDS 10 Directions - proposed revisions (PDF, 198 KB)
- Appendix B - Land Needs Assessment to 2051 Technical Working Paper (PDF, 1 MB)
- Appendix C - Residential Intensification Market Demand Analysis (PDF, 4 MB)
- Appendix D - Residential Intensification Supply Update (PDF, 705 KB)
- Appendix E - Designated Greenfield Area Density Analysis (PDF, 1 MB)
- Appendix F - Policy Review (PDF, 141 KB)
- Appendix G - Boundary Map of Built Up Area and Designated Greenfield Area (PDF, 896 KB)
- Appendix H - Map of Urban and Rural Land Areas Including Greenbelt Plan Boundary and Whitebelt Lands (PDF, 3 MB)
Comments & questions
- Written or oral delegation at the General Issues Committee meeting
Email: [email protected]
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